For the second straight day, the Denver Nuggets will play an afternoon game in New York City. On Sunday, the Nuggets will visit Barclays Center to take on the Brooklyn Nets. Denver is 47-24 overall and 17-18 on the road after a loss to the New York Knicks on Saturday. Brooklyn is 39-31 overall and 19-13 at home. The Nuggets have an uncertain injury report on the back-to-back, with Ben Simmons (back/knee) ruled out for the Nets.

Tip-off is at 3:30 p.m. ET in Brooklyn. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Nuggets as 1.5-point road favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 228 in the latest Nuggets vs. Nets odds. Before you make any Nets vs. Nuggets picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 22 of the 2022-23 NBA season a stunning 64-33 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,700. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Nets and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nets vs. Nuggets:

• Nuggets vs. Nets spread: Nuggets -1.5
• Nuggets vs. Nets over/under: 228 points
• Nuggets vs. Nets money line: Nuggets -125, Nets +105
• DEN: The Nuggets are 5-4 against the spread with no rest between games
• BKN: The Nets are 16-15-1 against the spread in home games
• Nuggets vs. Nets picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Nuggets can cover

Denver is led by its offense but the Nuggets also have defensive paths to success in this matchup. The Nuggets hold opponents to 34.9% shooting from 3-point range, and Denver is allowing only 23.1 free throw attempts per game. The Nuggets are in the top eight of the league in defensive rebound rate (73.1%), and Brooklyn is dead-last in the NBA in offensive rebound rate (22.3%) this season. The Nets are also in the bottom five in both points in the paint and free throw creation, and the Nuggets are potent enough on offense to keep the pressure on Brooklyn. 

Denver is in the top three of the NBA in offensive efficiency (117.5 points per 100 possessions) and shooting efficiency, with the Nuggets shooting 50.8% from the field and 38.6% from 3-point distance. The Nuggets also have top-five marks in the league in assist percentage (66.6%), assists per game (29.2), assist-to-turnover ratio (2.00), fast break points (16.5 per game), and points in the paint (54.9 per game). 

Why the Nets can cover

Mikal Bridges is enjoying a renaissance in Brooklyn. In 15 games since joining the Nets, Bridges is averaging 26.1 points and 4.7 rebounds per game, and Bridges is making 50% of field goal attempts and more than 44% of 3-point attempts. He is the centerpiece of an above-average offense, and the Nets are in the top four of the NBA in field goal percentage (49.1%) and 3-point percentage (38.3%). Brooklyn is also in the top quartile of the league in 2-point percentage (56.1%) and free throw percentage (79.8%), with the Nets averaging 15.0 fast break points and 25.3 assists per game. 

On defense, the Nets lead the league with 6.3 blocked shots per game, and Brooklyn is elite in opponent shooting. Brooklyn holds opponents to 46.1% shooting from the field and 51.4% from 2-point range, and the Nets have a top-five mark in assists allowed, yielding only 23.2 per game.

How to make Nets vs. Nuggets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting 238 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Nets? And which side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs. Nets spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.