Adam Glanzman/Getty Images. Pictured: Jimmy Butler #22 of the Miami Heat exchanges words with Grant Williams #12 of the Boston Celtics.
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The Parlay: (+125)
For this Heat team to make it to the NBA Finals, they must count on their leader Jimmy Butler to deliver a strong performance. His ankle injury from the previous series appears to have healed, and he is currently averaging an impressive 26.8 points per game against the Celtics.
Butler’s volume and usage have been consistent, as he has attempted at least 20 shots in three of the four games. He recently scored 29 points in his last game, with 20 coming in the second half.
DraftKings has set his points line at 28.5 points. Butler should be in the game for more than 35 minutes, which is enough time to get over his adjusted points line.
I am going to an “old-reliable” here. Celtics head coach Joe Mazzulla has committed to a small-ball starting lineup, which puts Tatum in a favorable position to continue delivering impressive rebounding performances.
Throughout this series, Tatum is averaging 10.3 rebounds per game and has managed to grab eight or more rebounds in nine of his last 10 playoff games. Thanks to Al Horford’s focus on defending Bam Adebayo, Tatum can position himself in the paint to collect rebounds off missed shots by the Miami Heat.
In the last game, Tatum played for 42 minutes during a 116-99 victory, so there’s no need to worry about his playing time.
Grant Williams never should have been out of the rotation, but now he’s back. He has played in three games in a row for 25 minutes or more and is even playing in the closing lineup for the Celtics.
He’s been great for this series. He brings a hard-nosed competitive intensity and his floor spacing helps Tatum. One of the key advantages he brings to the Celtics is his ability to shoot 3-pointers, which is crucial in countering the challenging zone defense of the Heat.
DraftKings has set Williams’ points line at 6.5, and he has been taking 64% of his shots from behind the arc in the past two games. I project that he will attempt at least three 3-pointers, and once one is successful, the TD Garden crowd will surely be buzzing.
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The Denver Nuggets have -400 odds to win the NBA Finals against the Miami Heat. Miami is being underestimated by legal betting sites with +300 NBA Finals odds.
The NBA Finals will be set following Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Monday night, and the oddsmakers at DraftKings Sportsbook have already released