The NBA regular season continues on Monday with roughly 10 games remaining per team. There’s a smaller six-game slate in the Association on Monday night, but our Action Network NBA betting experts are ready with their best bets. Find their expert picks and analysis below, including a pick for Mavericks vs. Grizzlies on NBA TV.
Andrew O’Connor-Watts: I lean to the over in this game — especially in the third quarter. The Wolves are the most profitable team to the third quarter over on the road (26-9) with a 40.3% ROI, according to EV Analytics. The Knicks are the fifth-most profitable team at home (22-14) with a 14.5% ROI.
The Knicks are 16-9 to the full game over as home favorites, according to Statmuse. The Wolves are 16-8 as road underdogs, but with so many injury question marks, I’ll wait on official lineups before placing any bets.
Make sure to follow me in the Action app for an updated pre-game play in this one (username: aoconnorwatts), but in all likelihood I’ll take a third-quarter over if Edwards plays.
Because of the Knicks’ horrible third-quarter defense, I’ll look for an in-game betting opportunity at halftime. If the game is trending under at the halfway mark, I’ll look to bet the over if we can get at least four points better than the closing line.
The Wolves are 37-24-3, 61% to the over in the second half this season (15% ROI), while the Knicks are 37-30, 55% (5% ROI).
Andrew O’Connor-Watts: I’ll stop fading the road Warriors when the books stop making them road favorites. Despite being the Rockets, who are supposedly tanking, the Houston has decided to play decent basketball lately. They’re a surprising 5-5 straight up and 6-4 ATS and they’ve won three of their last four home games.
The Warriors have owned the Rockets lately going 6-3-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and winning the last nine straight. But if we look at the three games this season and how the two teams have played lately, a strong case can be made for Houston at +10.
Golden State has won all three meetings, but the past two wins were at the Chase Center where the Warriors have been dominant. The first game of the season was in Houston and while the Rockets lost 127-120, they covered the 10.5-point spread.
Now, the Rockets come in with triple revenge and while they’re on a back to back, should be able to cover the 10-point spread.
Until the Warriors prove they can win big on the road, they have no business being double digit favorites to anyone outside of the Bay. I bet the Rockets at +10, but would take them down to +6.5.
Austin Wang: The Mavericks struggle on the road: their Net Rating is 22nd (-3.4) on the road while they are 14-21 SU and 15-20 ATS away from American Airlines Arena. Another interesting trend to note: the Mavericks are 9-24-2 ATS after a win, per the Sports Data Query Language at Killer Sports.
The Grizzlies have won five of their previous six games. They are also the league’s best team at home, boasting an elite 29-5 record.
Despite playing without Ja Morant recently, Tyus Jones’ facilitating and playmaking have benefited the entire team, and Jaren Jackson Jr. has scored 25, 28 and 31 in the past three games.
My pick is simple: back the elite home team to win again. The Grizzlies have a 29-5 record at home, and the Mavericks struggle on the road. The Grizzlies’ defensive intensity will be too much for the Mavericks to match, and I expect another big game from Jackson Jr. with the Mavericks’ lack of interior defense.
I make this line Grizzlies -3 with Doncic and Irving in. Both of them are listed as questionable, which gives this play some additional upside if at least one of them sits out.
How would you rate this article?
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.
Credit: Bart Young/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Mascot Rocky the Mountain Lion of the Denver Nuggets. Jun 01, 2023, 04:51 PM EDTThe 2023 NBA Finals tip Thur
Game 1 of the NBA Finals is here, and we have two completely different paths for the teams competing for the title. The Nuggets were the top-seed in the West
After a long wait on the part of the Denver Nuggets, the NBA Finals are finally set, with the Miami Heat traveling to the Ball Arena for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-of
May 29, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Miami Heat forward Jimmy Butler (22) celebrates with the MVP trophy after the Heat