Kristaps Porzingis’ Washington Wizards (32-38) will try to upset De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings when the Wizards play the Kings on March 18, 2023. Sacramento is a 2.5-point favorite against Washington. The matchup’s over/under is 236.
The Kings have a 19-15 record against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
The Wizards are 16-20-2 against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 2.4 fewer points per game, 233.6, than this matchup’s over/under of 236 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.6 fewer points per game (231.4) than this matchup’s total of 236 points.
The average total the Kings have had set in matchups this year is 3.1 more points than this outing’s point total.
Washington’s games this year have averaged a total of 226 points, 10 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
Sacramento’s ATS record is 39-29-1 this season.
The Wizards are 32-36-2 against the spread this year.
The Kings outscore opponents by 2.7 points per game (scoring 120.9 points per game to rank first in the league while allowing 118.2 per outing to rank 28th in the NBA) and have a +188 scoring differential overall.
The Kings rank 22nd in the league at 42.3 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 41.9 their opponents average.
Sacramento makes 13.6 three-pointers per game (seventh-most in the league) at a 37.1% rate (ninth-best in the NBA), compared to the 12.4 per game its opponents make at a 37.2% rate.
The Kings rank second in the league by averaging 116.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 22nd in the NBA, allowing 114 points per 100 possessions.
The Kings have been much better offensively at home, where they average 124.2 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 117.5 per game. Defensively, they are worse at home, where they surrender 119.2 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow their opponents to average 117.1 per game.
The Wizards have a -37 scoring differential, putting up 112.7 points per game (23rd in league) and giving up 113.2 (14th in NBA).
Washington ranks 11th in the NBA at 43.7 rebounds per game. That’s 1.1 more than the 42.6 its opponents average.
The Wizards connect on 11.2 three-pointers per game (21st in the league), while their opponents have made 11.7 on average.
The Wizards average 111.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (19th in league), and give up 114.1 points per 100 possessions (23rd in NBA).
Washington averages 113.2 points per game at home, and 112.3 away.
Domantas Sabonis accumulates 19 points, 12.6 rebounds and 7.1 assists per game.
Fox averages 25.5 points per game to go with 4.3 rebounds and 6.1 assists.
The Kings get 2.7 three-pointers per game out of Kevin Huerter.
Fox picks pockets to the tune of 1.2 takeaways per game, and Keegan Murray records 0.5 rejections per contest.
Porzingis has been among the team’s best in both scoring (22.8 points per game) and rebounding (8.5 rebounds per game) while adding 2.6 assists per contest.
Monte Morris’ per-game averages this season are 10.3 points, 5.2 assists and 3.5 rebounds.
Kyle Kuzma hits 2.5 threes per game.
The Wizards’ defensive efforts get a lift from Delon Wright’s two steals and Porzingis’ 1.6 blocks per game.
Under (236)
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