Luka Doncic’s Dallas Mavericks (37-40) are only 1-point underdogs in Saturday’s game against Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (40-37).
The Heat are 18-34-4 against the spread when favored by 1 point or more this season.
The Mavericks are 12-13-2 against the spread when an underdog by 1 point or more this year.
Miami has gone 27-46-4 ATS this season.
The Mavericks are 28-45-4 against the spread this year.
The Heat have a -81 scoring differential, falling short by 1.1 points per game. They’re putting up 108.7 points per game to rank 30th in the league and are giving up 109.8 per contest to rank second in the NBA.
The Heat grab 40.6 rebounds per game (28th in the league) while conceding 42.1 per contest to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 1.5 boards per game.
Miami hits 1.5 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 11.7 (18th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.2.
The Heat rank 26th in the league by averaging 109.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are ninth in the NBA, allowing 110.5 points per 100 possessions.
The Heat have scored at a higher rate in home games than away from home in the 2022-23 season (110.7 at home versus 106.7 on the road), and have also given up more points at home than on the road (109.9 opponent points per home game versus 109.6 on the road).
The Mavericks put up 113.8 points per game (16th in league) while allowing 113.3 per contest (15th in NBA). They have a +35 scoring differential.
Dallas ranks 30th in the league at 38.6 rebounds per game. That’s 5.6 fewer than the 44.2 its opponents average.
The Mavericks hit 4.2 more threes per contest than the opposition, 15.2 (third-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.0.
The Mavericks score 114.3 points per 100 possessions (eighth in league), while allowing 113.6 points per 100 possessions (20th in NBA).
Dallas is scoring more points at home (115.2 per game) than away (112.4).
Adebayo averages 20.7 points and 9.3 rebounds per game, with 3.3 assists.
Jimmy Butler contributes with 5.9 boards and 5.1 assists per game in addition to his 22.6 PPG scoring average.
Tyler Herro leads active Heat in three-point shooting, making an average of 3.1 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Butler averages 1.8 steals per game, while Adebayo swats 0.9 shots per contest.
Doncic is having a strong season overall, putting up 32.8 points per game, 8.7 rebounds per game, and 8.1 assists per game.
Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 2.9 made threes per game.
The Mavericks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Doncic (1.4 steals per game) and Christian Wood (1.0 block per game).
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