May 25, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) shoots against Miami Heat forward Caleb Martin (16) and forward Kevin Love (42) during the fourth quarter of game five of the Eastern Conference Finals for the 2023 NBA playoffs at TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports
Jaylen Brown warned the Heat not to let the Celtics take Game 4. Maybe Miami should have listened. Not only did Boston win that contest, but they also held serve at home in Game 5.
In doing so, they’ve cut the Heat’s seemingly insurmountable lead to 3-2 in the Eastern Conference Final, as the series shifts back to Miami for Game 6.
The last thing the Heat want to do is allow the Celtics to force a Game 7 on their home court, but online sportsbooks are expecting that to happen. They’ve opened up Boston as the road chalk on Saturday night in the NBA betting lines, as the Celtics look to become only the fourth team in NBA history to force a Game 7 after falling behind 3-0.
|Boston Celtics||-3 (-110)||-145||O 211 (-110)|
|Miami Heat||+3 (-110)||+125||U 211 (-110)|
Boston is currently a 3-point favorite, in a contest with a total of 211. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 pm ET at the Kaseya Center, in Miami, FL, with TNT providing the broadcast coverage.
Odds as of May 26 at Caesars. Claim a Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on Celtics vs Heat Game 6.
As of Friday evening, bettors are banking on the Celtics extending the series. Boston is currently drawing 58% of the spread wagers, and 63% of the ATS handle. The Celtics are 13-7 in their last 20 road playoff games dating back to last season, and have won four consecutive elimination games as visitors.
Total wise, over 211 is the more popular side. The over is currently drawing 74% of the total wagers, along with 60% of the handle. Each of the past two contests in this series have failed to eclipse the total, after Games 1, 2 and 3 all went over.
As for the series odds market, Miami is down to a -135 favorite to advance in the NBA playoff bracket, after being as long as -285 following Game 4.
Despite trailing the East Final 3-2, Boston actually has shorter NBA Championship odds than the Heat. The Celtics are currently +295 to win it all, with Miami checking in with a +550 price tag.
Gabe Vincent returning to the lineup would go along way to improving the Heat’s title prospects. Miami’s staring point guard sat out Game 5 with an ankle injury, and the Heat offense suffered. They turned the ball over 16 times on Thursday, and were down by 15 by the end of the first quarter.
Celtics cool off the Heat once more in 110-97 Game 5 win:
“The game was over before it started. But it was highly misleading with Gabe Vincent out.” — @RealSkipBayless pic.twitter.com/uLv4Ea5Mha
— UNDISPUTED (@undisputed) May 26, 2023
Miami is 18-5 in playoff games Vincent starts dating back to last year, and the point guard is currently listed as questionable ahead of Game 6.
As for the Celtics, backup point guard Malcolm Brogdon will be a game-time decision. Brogdon is dealing with a partial elbow tear and saw just eight minutes of action on Thursday.
At this point, you’d think Miami would be panicking, but that wasn’t the vibe following Game 5. Jimmy Butler offered a simple explanation that the team just needs to play better out of the gate, and he guaranteed a victory in Game 6.
Butler had his worst game of the playoffs on Thursday, scoring just 14 points. The Heat star attempted a playoff low 10 shots, and played only 34 minutes.
“We are going to win the next game.”
-Jimmy Butler pic.twitter.com/fzYgrbB6Av
— CBS Sports (@CBSSports) May 26, 2023
Miami has now been outscored by 30 points over the last two elimination games, committing 33 turnovers, and struggling to stop the Celtics from long range. Boston is shooting 40% from three over the last two contests, after hitting only 29% of their triples through the series first three games.
The Celtics are 38-2 when they splash at least 40% of their three-pointers this season, but just 29-31 when they fall below that number. They’re two wins away from completing the greatest comeback in NBA history, but Miami is not going to roll over, especially at home.
The Heat are 6-1 in their own building this postseason, outscoring their opponents by an average of 10 points per 100 possessions.
Their 105.5 home defensive rating is better than any playoff team this year except the Lakers, and they’ve covered in six of eight contests at the Kaseya Center since the regular season finished.
|Miami Heat +3||-110|
|Jayson Tatum Over 9.5 Rebounds||-175|
|Derrick White Over 11.5 Points||-175|
|Same-Game Parlay Odds||+425|
We’ll target Miami catching three points in our Celtics vs Heat same-game parlay, and pair it with 10+ rebounds for Jayson Tatum and over 11.5 points for Derrick White.
Boston is electing to limit Robert Williams’ minutes this series which has allowed Tatum to gobble up boards. He’s averaging 11 rebounds in his last four contests, reaching double-digit rebounds three times.
As for White, Brogdon’s injury has opened up more minutes for him. He responded by scoring 24 points in Game 5 on a postseason high 37 minutes. He’s been lights out from three especially this series, burying 58% of his long distance looks, while averaging 3.6 threes per game.
Picks: Miami +3 (-110), Same-Game Parlay (+425), Derrick White 3+ Threes (-105)
As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
Credit: Bart Young/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Mascot Rocky the Mountain Lion of the Denver Nuggets. Updated:Jun 07, 2023, 04:38 PM EDTThe NBA Finals have
Dimers.com provides exclusive sports betting content to PennLive.com, including picks, analysis, tools, and sportsbook offers to help bettors get in on the acti
This article is part of our NBA Picks series. For the latest NBA Odds, including NBA Futures and NBA player props, visit RotoWire's NBA Bet
Commercial Content 21+ The Heat put together an inspired performance in Game 2, coming away with a gutsy three-point road victory to ste