Odds are against Pascal Siakam and the Toronto Raptors (35-36), who are a 9.5-point underdog when they hit the court against Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks (50-20) on March 19, 2023. The matchup features an over/under of 233.5.
The Bucks have a 4-9 record against the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.
The Bucks and the Raptors combine to average 4.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 233.5 set for this matchup.
Milwaukee and Toronto have seen its opponents average a combined nine fewer points per game than the over/under of 233.5 set for this outing.
The average point total in Bucks games this season is 4.9 fewer points than the total of 233.5 in this matchup.
The average point total for Toronto this year is 8.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Milwaukee has a 38-27-5 record against the spread this season.
So far this year, the Raptors have compiled a 35-35-1 record against the spread.
The Bucks are outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per game with a +270 scoring differential overall. They put up 116.2 points per game (ninth in the NBA) and give up 112.4 per contest (ninth in the league).
The Bucks prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 4.5 boards. They are recording 48.9 rebounds per game (first in the league) compared to their opponents’ 44.4 per outing.
Milwaukee makes 14.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league), 2.9 more than its opponents (11.9). It is shooting 36.6% from deep (11th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.9%.
The Bucks average 113.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (ninth in the league), and give up 108.6 points per 100 possessions (third in the NBA).
So far in the 2022-23 campaign, the Bucks are scoring 6.9 more points per home game on average than on the road (119.7 at home, 112.8 on the road), and are also conceding 0.1 more points per home game compared to road games (112.4 at home, 112.3 on the road).
The Raptors put up 112.9 points per game (21st in league) while allowing 112.1 per outing (fifth in NBA). They have a +61 scoring differential.
Toronto averages 43 rebounds per game (17th in league), compared to the 42.3 of its opponents.
The Raptors make 10.8 three-pointers per game (23rd in the league) while shooting 33.9% from beyond the arc (26th in NBA). They are making 1.4 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 12.2 per game at 37.5%.
The Raptors average 111.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (15th in league), and concede 111.7 points per 100 possessions (13th in NBA).
At home, Toronto averages 114.3 points per game. Away, it averages 111.5.
Antetokounmpo averages 31.4 points, 11.9 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game.
Jrue Holiday puts up 19.4 points per game while adding 5.2 rebounds and 7.3 assists for the Bucks.
The Bucks get 2.4 three-pointers per game out of Holiday.
Holiday averages 1.2 takeaways per game, while Brook Lopez collects 2.5 rejections per contest.
Siakam racks up 24.3 points per game and also tacks on 7.7 rebounds and 5.9 assists per contest.
This season, Jakob Poeltl has a statline of 12.7 points, three assists and 9.2 rebounds per game.
Fred VanVleet knocks down 3.1 threes per game.
The Raptors’ defensive efforts get a boost from OG Anunoby’s two steals and Poeltl’s 1.2 blocks per game.
Under (233.5)
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